Mayor’s Office Edited Ambitious Growth Plan for Seattle to Preserve the Status Quo

By Erica C. Barnett

Last August, Seattle’s Department of Planning and Community Development produced a draft update to the city’s Comprehensive Plan that would have allowed for significantly more density in more parts of the city, including single-family neighborhoods, than the final version Mayor Harrell released in March.

The never-released draft plan, which PubliCola obtained through a records requests, would have allowed more density near bus lines, more apartments in areas historically reserved for single-family houses, and more housing of all types in the city’s most exclusive neighborhoods.

The unreleased plan zeroed in on the city’s history of racist zoning restrictions, and left no question that wealthy, white Seattle residents continue to benefit from exclusionary policies today. Areas that once had explicit covenants banning Black residents “remain disproportionately white, restrictively zoned, and characterized by high-cost detached housing,” according to the original draft, thanks to “facially race-neutral standards like minimum lot size and prohibitions on multifamily housing — both of which remain in Seattle’s zoning today.”

Instead of releasing that plan, Mayor Bruce Harrell’s office spent six months taking their red pens to the document—watering down the density requirements, removing provisions that would have allowed more housing in single-family neighborhoods (such as Laurelhurst, Wallingford, and east Queen Anne) and ensuring that the new comprehensive plan would preserve the status quo while just complying with a new state law designed to allow more density everywhere.

Here, for the first time, is a look at some of the changes Mayor Harrell’s office made to the plan that will guide how and where Seattle grows over the next 20 years. The comp plan is an important document: It sets goals for the coming decades and establishes policies to make them happen; these policies become the framework for future decisions about zoning, land use, greenhouse gas reductions, and much more.

The most obvious and high-impact changes to the plan are reductions in the amount of density the city will allow in every neighborhood, especially historically single-family areas. Many of the reductions in density are fairly subtle, but the first one is glaring: The August version of the plan would have created a new land use designation called “corridors,” where buildings of up to five stories would “generally” be allowed, although “higher heights may be appropriate in areas of mixed-use zoning or other focal points.”

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Urbanists (including PubliCola) have raised issues with the idea that apartments should be restricted to big, busy arterials. But that isn’t an argument against tall apartment buildings on streets with bus routes; it’s an argument for denser housing throughout the city.

The proposal the city released in March completely eliminates the corridor designation, taking large swaths of land surrounding streets like Sand Point Way, Ravenna Ave. NE, and East Madison Street off the table for density. According to a spokeswoman for the city’s Office of Planning and Community Development, Seferiana Day, “the Mayor’s Office considered the corridor option but ultimately decided not to include it as part of its Draft Plan as the other zoning changes contemplated in the Draft Plan can readily accommodate any amount of future growth that does occur.”

According to Day, the city has not calculated how many new apartments and other types of housing including the corridors would have added to the plan.

“[T]his seems to be calling for more housing well beyond what is needed based on projections,” Harrell’s staffer commented. A long-range planner with OPCD responded, “Yes, that is intentional. We have not kept up with past job growth and want to ensure there is a buffer of housing capacity in anticipation of potential future housing demand exceeding the adopted projections (which were low-ball last update).”

For decades, there has been a tension in Seattle between “accommodating” the number of people who are expected to move here—by allowing enough additional housing for a theoretical maximum number of new people—and providing an abundance of options for everyone already living here as well as those who will move here in the future. The comprehensive plan draft the city release in March takes the former approach, creating “capacity” for about 100,000 new homes over a period when at least 200,000 new people are expected to move into a city already facing a critical housing shortage.

Notes between city staff on a draft of the plan show that there was internal debate on this point, and that the mayor’s office prevailed. In one copy of the draft that included staff notes, a staffer for the mayor’s office questioned the plan’s original recommendation to “Plan for expected growth over the next 20 years while also providing additional housing capacity to enable the city to respond to existing unmet needs and potential demand from future employment growth.”

“[T]his seems to be calling for more housing well beyond what is needed based on projections,” Harrell’s staffer commented. A long-range planner with OPCD responded, “Yes, that is intentional. We have not kept up with past job growth and want to ensure there is a buffer of housing capacity in anticipation of potential future housing demand exceeding the adopted projections (which were low-ball last update).”

A subtler change is the elimination of smaller nodes of density deep in neighborhoods, known in the plan as “neighborhood centers.” The August 2023 version of the plan proposed about four dozen such centers, where apartment and condo buildings as tall as 6 stories would be allowed near intersections and transit stops throughout the city; that number was whittled down to 24 in the final plan, mostly in areas that are already fairly dense, like Georgetown. The final plan also shrunk the maximum size of these centers from an 1,000-foot radius around major intersections to just 800 feet.

Some of the proposed areas where new density would have been allowed under draft versions of the plan, but not the final, include Alki, Magnolia, Queen Anne, Laurelhurst and all of Southeast Seattle, including Lakewood and Seward Park.

Many of the areas that were eliminated as neighborhood centers are in neighborhoods identified by the Puget Sound Regional Council as areas with a low risk of displacement—generally areas with wealthier residents who don’t risk losing their homes when housing prices increase. While the August draft emphasizes the need to “encourage relatively more housing in areas of low-displacement [risk],” the final draft avoids suggesting that these areas are ripe for more housing.”

Asked about this, OPCD’s Day said, “More housing is needed everywhere across the city, regardless of displacement risk.”

For renters, who make up the majority of Seattle’s population, the future the early comprehensive plan draft envisioned was one where rental apartments—not just various configurations of townhouses and duplexes—would be allowed in most parts of the city, giving tenants access to neighborhoods that have historically been off-limits. The version of the plan released in March narrows this vision, continuing to find the vast majority of apartments along the same arterials where renters have always been allowed.

The early draft plan called for new density around “corridors” with access to bus service. In the final draft, these corridors have been removed.

In this version, nearly every substantive policy that would have expanded access to apartments in historically exclusionary areas has been removed. For example, while the August draft directed the city to “remove zoning and building code barriers that prevent the development of comparatively lower-cost forms of housing, like rental apartments, particularly in residential neighborhoods with a history of exclusion on the basis of race,” the draft released in March embraces “lower-cost” housing as a concept, but no longer specifies what kind.

In a similar vein, the new draft removes references to encouraging “courtyard apartments” and “stacked flats” in historically single-family areas. It even removes a goal of “prioritiz[ing] areas away from major sources of noise and pollution when considering rezones to allow more housing.”

Perhaps unsurprisingly, the final draft also eliminates large chunks of text about historical and current racially discriminatory housing practices, consigning these factors to a few paragraphs and portraying them mostly as unfortunate relics of a bygone past. Day told PubliCola this was largely for “readability” and in the interest of making the draft “accessible” to the general public by focusing on what the plan would do.

But in eliminating much of the historical context, the final draft fails to acknowledge that problems that started when Seattle was founded persist today because of decisions the city has continued to make, like preventing renters from living in most of the city. As an excised section of the August draft put it, “economic exclusion has perpetuated that pattern [of “racial exclusion enforced through redlining and racial covenants”] and has contributed to the high cost of housing in Seattle. As a result, amenities such as well-resourced schools and large parks have been accessible only to those who could afford a limited supply of single-family homes.”

The remedy for this pattern of exclusion, according to the early draft, is to eliminate “zoning restrictions [that] limit the development of new housing choices,” using “greater market production of housing in these areas [to] help absorb demand, expand neighborhood access, and produce housing types with comparatively lower price points.” This sentence, and others like it, no longer appear in the draft plan.

Other changes are smaller, but still significant.

Throughout the document, prescriptive language has been replaced with squishy like “encourage,” “support,” and “consider the value of.” For example, while the early draft directed city policy makers to “Avoid setting minimum parking requirements for residential development,” the plan that was released says the city should avoid minimum parking requirements only “in areas well-served by transit, and “consider removing minimum parking requirements for housing in other areas.” Similarly, a directive to “Use bicycle parking requirements to encourage bicycle ownership and use” now says the city should use unspecified means to “encourage bicycle parking in new construction.”

References to supporting the Seattle Social Housing developer and advocating for “policies and changes in law to allow rent stabilization” are also gone, as are references to the city’s Mandatory Housing Affordability program, which requires developers who build new housing in certain parts of the city to build affordable units or pay a fee to help fund them elsewhere. The program has always been the subject of heated debate, with opponents on both sides of the NIMBY/developer spectrum. Now, Day says, the city is “considering whether to apply MHA” to areas upzoned by HB 1110, and other internal documents suggest the city is doing a wholesale review of MHA as a policy.

The city is taking public comments on the draft Comprehensive Plan update through May 6, and is holding a series of in-person open houses for the rest of April, with a final, virtual public meeting on May 2.

 

22 thoughts on “Mayor’s Office Edited Ambitious Growth Plan for Seattle to Preserve the Status Quo”

  1. Seattle is already full. If more housing is needed, it should be out in boondocks. The automobile has been a powerful tool for housing affordability and it should be encouraged.

  2. Have your voice heard by emailing: OneSeattleCompPlan@seattle.gov

    Linked is the amount of houses mayor’s plan plans to build per year versus number of houses built since 2015: https://d.img.vision/itsadrivename/_The_Draft_One_Seattle_Plan_plans_for_less_housing_construction.jpeg

    Mayor’s plans for 5k new houses a year, when the average actually built since 2015 is ~8k, and the last three 3 years has been 10k+ homes built trending upward.

    The mayors plan appears to build less than half of our projected housing needs — it not recognize reality. It is literally unworkable.

  3. In the name of reparations for past redlining upzoning has displaced thousands of low income people of all races. New development has erased Section 8 housing, much of which has been historically SF house rentals, in favor of luxury townhouses, expensive apartments too small for more than one or two live in or multimillion dollar SF homes with million dollar “ADU’s.” It is painful to watch the mostly white developer industry, funded by REIT’s and private equity firms, use race to justify what results in further exclusion of the groups they claim to be helping.

    And yes to other commenters above: brown people also want to live in houses. They want yards. They want a place for grandparents to move in, for kids to return when they need to, and a surrounding of trees and gardens. We no longer have redlining— celebrate the victory and the freedom to start a home wherever one wants— and don’t assume that Black people, simply because they are Black, will be too poor (forever!) to own a house. I live in a formerly “white” neighborhood with Asian, Black and Hispanic neighbors. If they wanted to live in Micro apartments in the middle of heat islands like downtown Ballard they would do so.

    1. “I live in a formerly “white” neighborhood with Asian, Black and Hispanic neighbors. If they wanted to live in Micro apartments in the middle of heat islands like downtown Ballard they would do so.”

      But if what turns out to be best for any given family would be to (say) divide a single family house into 6 small apartments, the law should not force them to leave the neighborhood and move to downtown Ballard.

      1. Let’s not pretend these regulations are to encourage conversion of EXISTING homes that might be more affordable. That would be something great to see, and works very well right now in places like Capitol Hill.

      2. Who the fuck died and gave you the authority to determine what is best for ANY family?

  4. I want to know who these unnamed “staff” are, both in the planning department and in the Mayor’s office. Erica, you’ve got the records, so name these people. A lot of people have made allegations about who is “running things” in the Mayor’s office, and it would be informative to know which individuals are carrying the Mayor’s water on this.

    During the Nickels era, Tim Ceis was the one behind most of the policy flips. And since The Shark has been on contract with Mayor Harrell on a couple other projects (Sound Transit) while also serving clients with vested interests in City policies, inquiring minds want to see if there’s a connection.

    Or is it Tim Burgess? Many people claim, without obvious evidence, that “Burgess is running the City”. Is it he who flipped the Comp Plan?

    Or perhaps Marco Lowe, formerly the lobbyist for the Master Builders Association, and now COO for the Mayor. He’s the one primarily responsible for the Tree Cutting Ordinance the housing-at-all-costs City Council passed last May. These Comp Plan changes might not give his former bosses the build-it-all they desire, but we deserve to know.

  5. Sounds like the Mayor’s daughter or handler lives in Ballard. The Mayor’s plan stinks, the overwhelming majority that post on the Planning website comment page agree it is terrible. To defend it is pathetic.

  6. “History of racist zoning restrictions”.

    Classic ECB dishonesty.

    Newsflash – Black folks (and other people of color) like single-family housing too – the form isn’t intrinsically racist, though the fact that POC (and, for that matter, the Jewish/Italian/Irish sides of my family) weren’t allowed to buy in some neighborhoods most definitely was.

    But you knew that, didn’t you?

    1. Of course the neighborhoods being excluded from upzone are the same as those that historically excluded POC.

      But you knew that, didn’t you?

      1. Maybe not, because Erica specifically stated the zoning restrictions were racist, and not the buildings themselves nor the form of housing, yet the latter is what the OP is going on about, so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

    2. We know the zoning restrictions were racist because the racists who did them said so – from the city’s draft plan about the 1923 zoning ordinance, which was the first time multifamily homes were prohibited on any of the city’s residential land:

      ““… the City’s first zoning ordinance, adopted in 1923, was promoted by the Zoning Commission as a way to prevent ‘lowering…the standard of racial strength and virility’ and crafted by a planner [from St Louis] who touted zoning as a way to ‘preserve the more desirable residential neighborhoods’ and prevent movement into ‘finer residential districts… by colored people.’”

      “Saint Louis introduced zoning designed to preserve homes in areas unaffordable to most Black families in 1919, and the city often changed areas’ zoning designations from residential to industrial once numerous Black families moved in. Similarly, Seattle’s 1923 zoning laws changed many areas with a large number of Black or Chinese American families from residential to commercial.”

      1. Gosh, I bet Jimi Hendrix would be surprised to know the house he lived in as a kid in the CD was a racist building (though the fact that it WAS in the CD definitely reflected the racism and redlining of the time)

        Try harder.

    3. btw the zoning restrictions aimed at banning homes Italians and Jews could afford were racist too:

      “The Italian tenements are rapidly creeping toward Broadway [in Providence], and a beautiful and dignified street seems doomed. Silver Lake is soon to duplicate Federal Hill with its conglomeration of three deckers. So far the native Americans have watched these foreign invasions as if they were helpless. They surrendered North Main and South Main streets to the Portuguese, Jews, and Armenians with little regret, but they are giving up their homes on Broadway and other pleasant streets, not from choice, but for the reason that undesirable buildings have changed the character of the neighborhood.”

      “Only with the Jews and the Italians does the three-decker seem to have been a real success…Other people are beginning to shun the three-decker. They realize that it lowers one’s social standing to be rated as a three-decker dweller…Other cities are safeguarding themselves against the three-deckers, as Providence should do.”

  7. I like the Mayors plan and thought it was balanced. Expanding on the original HALA upzones while defining a few new urban villages. We need all types of housing including single family homes, townhomes and condos, cottages, and apartments for individuals and families. Plus retirement homes and subsidized affordable housing. We’ve built so much in last 10 years it will be easy to build amount needed in next 10 or 20 with a slow steady rate of building.

    1. We’ve built “so much” and haven’t even come close to building enough. The enactment of this plan will do little to help us catch up, let alone get ahead. We do not need slow and steady. We need fast and urgent. We need to house the people we have AND have enough stock to house the people who move here in the coming decades AND ensure there’s enough availability to actually and finally drive prices back down (or *at least* slow the explosion). This city needs zero more single-family homes. The only place to go is up.

      1. Jeeze! Are you in the construction business? Maybe a banker? Are you personally involved in the housing industry at all? Because I’ve worked in the industry most of my adult life.

        The people who actually build and finance housing don’t care what you personally think. They don’t care what Publicola thinks, or even what the mayor thinks, so don’t take it personally. They care about making lots and lots of money. One of the easiest ways to do that is by keep housing stocks under housing demand and with an agreed upon, but completely unspoken, agreement of general collusion….. never build enough housing to drop the prices.

        As long as people with money keep moving to Seattle…. there’s always going to be a housing shortage. What amazes me is the number of people, renters, who pay and pay and pay never ending rent increases… when they could have just moved to Midwest and bought a house. Personally, I’m my own man, a home owner, and not a profit source for big business. Some rats never leave the wheel I guess.

        Seattle is being colonized by rich bastards outta Cali. It sucks, but what can you do?

        If anybody takes this as a personal attack, I’m sorry. But looking at all the tents out there in Seattle…. nobody gives a shit when you can’t pay rent. The Emerald City is meaner than Hell.

  8. Great work Erica!

    What a massive scandal. So Planning listened to our feedback and wrote legislation reflecting that. Mayor hypocrite is the cause of the delay and this miserable watered down joke of a plan. Flood the Council with letters. There is still time. The answer is written but was hidden in some dark drawer by Harrell and is now found. Thanks again Erica!!!

    Brent Silver
    Seattle Urbanism Alliance

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