Bike shares have found a welcome home in Seattle, but don’t expect to see another form of shared transportation– electric scooters–in Seattle any time soon. Mayor Jenny Durkan is on record saying she considers the zippy, candy-colored contraptions—which travel up to 15 miles an hour and are as ubiquitous in some US cities as bicycles are in Copenhagen—too dangerous for Seattle streets. At a recent CityClub Civic Cocktail event, Durkan enumerated the many reasons she thinks scooters are a bad idea. Too dangerous: “Every mayor who’s got ‘em comes up to me and says, ‘Don’t take ‘em and, the reason is … every city that has scooters has significant traumatic injuries.” Too frivolous: “I know some people think scooters can be fun, but… ” Too likely to lead to lawsuits: “A couple of cities now are paying out millions of dollars in judgments for people who are hurt.”
Let me offer some counterarguments: Scooters get people from point A to point B really quickly, without firing up a carbon-spewing engine or breaking a sweat. Scooters are easy to ride—if you can walk, you can probably ride a scooter—and have the lowest barrier to entry of any shared mode of transit. Mock if you want, but not everyone wants a workout on their way from one meeting to the next. Previously, people who prefer a cardio-free commute would have jumped in their cars. Now, they can make those short trips on their zero-emission scooters instead.
Critics point out that many of the environmental claims from scooter proponents (usually focused on the reduction of carbon emissions) remain unproven. Fair enough—it’s possible that a significant number of the thousands of people using scooters to get around Austin, San Diego, and Washington, D.C. would have otherwise used public transportation, walked or ridden bikes to their destinations. But it’s almost certain that scooters take at least some vehicles off the road—and doesn’t every little reduction in emissions help, particularly in a region where transportation is the single largest contributor to greenhouse-gas emissions?
You know what else we don’t know about scooters? Whether they’re actually as dangerous as opponents claim. Durkan cited unspecified mayors and cities that are turning against scooters, but the truth is, no city has had scooters on its streets long enough to have any real idea whether they’re more dangerous than walking, or biking, or—for that matter—driving a car. Anecdotal evidence suggests a rise in emergency room visits for injuries sustained by people riding e-scooters, but that’s not the same as statistical proof of danger: The rate of injuries on e-scooters used to be zero, because they weren’t legal in any city, and now it has risen. Similarly, a few people have died riding shared e-scooters. That represents an increase in deaths of hundreds of percentage points, because the previous number—when scooter-sharing didn’t exist—was zero. One frequently cited Washington Post story claims that there has been a “161 percent spike in [ER] visits involving electric scooters.” Buried in the story is the fact that the increase, at a single hospital in Salt Lake City, was from eight injuries to 21. Cyclists sustain a lot more injuries, and are more likely to be killed while riding, than scooter riders. That isn’t an argument to ban bikes. It’s an argument to make roads safer.
And speaking of that: You know what the common denominator is in most of those deaths and injuries? Cars. Cars hit cyclists, and pedestrians, and people on scooters, far more often than those people get into accidents on their own. Pedestrians and cyclists accounted for 22 percent of traffic deaths in Washington State last year; a report from the Washington State Department of Transportation blamed speeding drivers, not inattentive pedestrians and cyclists, for most of those deaths. So far, three people have been killed riding scooters—all by people driving cars. There’s certainly a safety argument for regulating the speed scooters can go, but that’s a problem with an easy fix: Lime and Bird, the two biggest scooter-sharing companies, have regulators that limit their scooters to 15 miles an hour, and some cities have proposed lowering that limit further, to 12 mph, or even eight. Meanwhile, cars continue to be allowed on city streets, driving 30, 40, even 50 miles an hour, despite the fact that they cause more than 40,000 fatalities every year.
Durkan is right about one thing: Scooters are fun. Recently, I was in Portland, where scooters are allowed in bike lanes and on city streets, and I warily agreed to try using the Lime scooter my housemate brought home with him one afternoon. After a shaky start, I got the hang of it, and before long, I was zipping all around the city—from the conference venue, to my Airbnb, and to meetups everywhere in between. When there wasn’t a scooter around, I used one of the many bikesharing services. My rental car—which I’d driven down from Seattle and planned to use when I needed to get across town fast—sat in its spot on the street for four straight days. Why drive when there are so many better alternatives?
Scooters are fun, but I can say from experience that, as they currently stand, they won’t work in Seattle. Our hills are much, much too steep for their small engines and batteries to propel me up them, and their brakes are too weak to stop me going down them.
I have ridden these scooters in Nashville, a MUCH flatter city than Seattle, and even there I frequently run into hills that the scooters can’t realistically manage, up or down.
Would be worth comparing the safety of scooters to bike share bikes, as neither existed 10 years ago. In the Pronto days (RIP), I remember hearing that no one in the world had died on a bike share bike, but I’m not sure if that was true then or is true anymore.
I was in Spokane right after e scooters were unleashed there and it was kind of frightening. So many high schoolers whizzing around on sidewalks! They did look really fun, maybe we all just need to lighten up.
Here in S.F., CA they were being driven and dumped all over the sidewalks. When they were driven on the sidewalks (and they always are) they become a real danger to pedestrians. Imagine being hit by someones entire body traveling at 15-20 mph. This is a recipe for serious injury. When you step out into the street you look both ways out of habit. When you step out of some shop you don’t. You’ll never see it coming until you wind up in the ER.
The second problem is that people just leave the scooters anywhere they feel like, and human nature being what it is they wind up blocking people’s way, and a lot of these people are handicapped and elderly.
The solution to all of this? They need to be docked.
Yes, this would cut into profits but docking is the right thing to do. When faced with the choice of doing the right thing or doing the profitable thing Bird et al made their choice. Pedestrian safety (docking) cuts into profits.
The core of the problem is that they need to be OFF the sidewalks, entirely.
The statistical reasoning in this piece is very, very off.
>>”Anecdotal evidence suggests a rise in emergency room visits for injuries sustained by people riding e-scooters, but that’s not the same as statistical proof of danger: The rate of injuries on e-scooters used to be zero, because they weren’t legal in any city, and now it has risen. Similarly, a few people have died riding shared e-scooters. That represents an increase in deaths of hundreds of percentage points, because the previous number—when scooter-sharing didn’t exist—was zero.”
Actually, an increase from 0 to >0 deaths is an infinite percentage increase. More to the point, measuring the risks posed by e-scooters based on number of deaths pre vs post scooter is unuseful at best, dishonest at worst, and it’s compounded by taking it as a percentage of total ridership. You have to compare the risks against alternative modes. Is using a scooter more dangerous than walking, driving, or cycling? Do cities that have high rates of scooter usage see an increase in traumatic injury that is uncorrelated with another factor?
I think Jenny has a point. We were the test tube for bike share with pretty good, if mixed results. Let’s let other cities experiment with scooters and take another look in a couple years.
This post is about Seattle. And I’m less worried about killing fish than I am about killing *everything* due to a rapidly warmed planet.
Oops, that was meant as a reply to Michael’s concerns about renewables killing fish.
We are already killing everything. By doing so many things like this — “death by a thousand cuts”. But, sure, there are trade-offs. I don’t see the value in scooters enough to justify it. Just more energy use and scooters lying around everywhere so people don’t have to walk anywhere ever.
I totally agree with making streets safer, cars being the big problem. And I don’t really care much if people kill themselves with a scooter, other than increases in insurance costs, but they are also dangerous to others. I still have some back pain from when I was hit by a fool riding one who couldn’t stop. And speed limits for anything but a car are useless, as they will not be enforced. We already have speeding e-bikes, do we need another mode?
And “zero-emission?” That is a sham: With most electricity coming from burnt fossil, they are “emissions-elsewhere.”
Seattle electricity overwhelming comes from hydro power (88%). The remaining power comes mostly from nuclear and wind (another 9%).
True enough, though only for Seattle. So that means for us we will submerge more wilderness and kill more fish to power them. Renewables are great and the obvious way to go, but let’s not pretend that they have no down side.
Need to make a choice: scooters or fish to save the whales