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Founded in January 2009, PubliCola is a blog about Seattle written by journalists who are dedicated to non-partisan, original daily reporting that prioritizes a balanced approach to news. Started by longtime local editor and award-winning reporter Josh Feit, PubliCola is the first online-only news site in state history to get media credentials to cover the state capitol.

PubliCola was off and running. In June 2009, PubliCola hired another award-winning journalist, super-sourced Seattle city hall reporter Erica C. Barnett.

People were afraid that blogging would change journalism. Instead, we believe journalism can change blogging. Twenty-first century journalism may look and feel different, and yes Erica isn't afraid to get cranky, but we're committed to making sure online news still delivers independent, reliable, even-keeled coverage. And most of all, we're committed to making sure the coverage sparks honest civic debate.

Bringing you cola for the people, PubliCola is named after Publius Valerius PubliCola, the alias for the authors of the Federalist Papers—the original bloggers.

The first online-only news site in state history to get media credentials to cover the state capitol and Seattle city hall, PubliCola has been called a “must-read” by the Seattle Post Intelligencer and a hot “New Media Mover and Shaker” by Seattle Magazine—which also cited our own Erica C. Barnett as the city's No. 1 news nerd.

Brewster’s Half-Baked Argument Against Light Rail

The “city of the future”: You can almost see downtown from there!

So David Brewster over at Crosscut thinks maybe Kevin Wallace’s so-called “Vision Line” in Bellevue isn’t such a bad thing! Never mind that  it’s situated far away from most residences, bypasses the downtown business core, and skips the South Bellevue park-and-ride—some suburbanites are worried about “noise and disruption” in their neighborhoods, and by God, they deserve to be listened to.

Oh, and anyone who says otherwise is just a “density-dogmatist” making “ad hominem attacks.” Huh?

Brewster’s argument gets underway with a classic Crosscut editorial strategy: Set up straw men, knock ‘em down.

First, the Vision Line doesn’t go through the suburban enclaves lying west of the [Mercer] Slough, where the neighbors don’t want the noise and disruption of Sound Transit’s planned route, relatively few riders will be attracted, and lawyers are rubbing their hands in anticipation of long resistance in courts. Before Seattleites sneer at the suburbanites, just think how, say, Capitol Hill and Montlake would have reacted if Sound Transit had proposed running on the streets rather than the far more expensive tunnels it chose.

Yes, let’s “just think” about that hypothetical, shall we? Hmmm… Well, I, with my direct line into the brains of sneering Seattleites, think most folks in Capitol Hill would’ve been thrilled to get light rail (like they’re thrilled to be getting a streetcar that will run on surface streets).

But since I haven’t actually talked to those hypothetical residents—because they’re straw men, not people—the truth is, I have no idea what they’d say.

Moreover, bullying shouldn’t dictate policy. The fact that a few noisy neighbors in Bellevue have fears about light rail and its “screaming wheels” isn’t in itself a reason to move light rail elsewhere. Complaints are inevitable with any change—the job of planners is to decide which complaints have merit, not to cower at the first hint of criticism.

Brewster also argues that moving the line east of downtown will save money—as much as $500 million—compared to the cost of building a tunnel through downtown—”money Sound Transit doesn’t have and Bellevue doesn’t want to spend.”

That’s, at best, a half truth—Sound Transit never said it would build a tunnel through downtown Bellevue, so it’s always been up to Bellevue to come up with the money (actually closer to $285 million) if they want a tunnel. Not building the tunnel doesn’t “save money”—it’s what Sound Transit has planned to do all along.

Next, Brewster decides to play transit planning expert:

So, while the Vision Line may have fewer riders in Bellevue, by not having a station right in the center of its downtown (if there is a center), it might gain more than the preferred Sound Transit route by having a better station to the south in Wilburton (with 1 million square feet of commercial space) and where two major bike trails converge. And by getting closer to Redmond. So far, however, Sound Transit studies give the Vision Plan poor marks for attracting riders.

Given the choice between studies by teams of engineers trained in predicting ridership, and the opinions of a defiantly pro-sprawl editorial writer with an ax to grind, I’m gonna go with the transportation engineers.

We’ll skip lightly over the next several hundred words, which are basically a rehash of the same arguments applied to the south end of the route (moving rail away from where people live is better for people who don’t like noise; some completely hypothetical rhetoric about how the Vision Line will lead to fewer lawsuits) and jump to the downtown segment.

Brewster concedes, grudgingly, that it might appear to make more sense to run transit through downtown, with its dense population of residents, shoppers, and workers (AKA potential transit riders) than next to a freeway way off to the east. Then he derides that theory as an article of faith (“thou shalt not put transit alongside a freeway, goes one tenet”) and posits two (contradictory) theories of his own.

First, he says, maybe it’s a good thing that you can’t build dense housing next to a freeway, since that allows the area around the station to become a transportation hub, with on-ramps and off-ramps as far as the eye can see. The 405 interchange could become Bellevue’s Northgate!

Then, without skipping a beat, Brewster makes the opposite case, arguing that because the land directly adjacent to a freeway is “affordable and open,” it might be ideal for “moderate-cost new housing” (for future people who, unlike wealthy Mercer Slough residents, won’t be bothered by “screaming wheels,” one assumes), paving the way for the 405 light rail station to become  “the center of the city of the future.”

Shorter David Brewster: Light rail is fine, as long as it doesn’t go anywhere anyone currently lives, shops, walks, bikes, or has a job.


  • Bill_in_Central_District

    with the fine job ST did in getting light rail close to the airport, i'm not encouraged that they'll get it any closer to downtown Bellevue.

    in fact i'll wager that 'just to keep things rolling' we'll get more of that massive transit investment that's half-assed. add it to the list with our overpriced Beacon Hill tunnel and the First Hill streetcar.

  • Jason_Mitchell

    Wrong-o. Bellevue is getting light rail through the heart of downtown whether the new 4-3 majority on their council likes it or not. The only question is whether it'll be at-grade or if Bellevue and ST can find a way to fund a tunnel.

  • Max

    Brewster essentially makes the opposite case in a June 22, 2007 column:

    The case for transit is not an easy one to make for the voters. Costs are very high, and only a few of the voters live near enough to the lines to get much direct benefit. The trickle-down case is difficult to make, especially since expensive transit systems usually force cutbacks in bus service to pay for the rails. So it's not surprising that the case is invariably oversold. One of the worst ways it is oversold is to urge people to imagine that these first baby steps, or “starter lines,” will someday grow into a full system, as in larger, older cities.

    Ain't gonna happen. The general rule is that only cities with densities of more than 10,000 people per square mile pass the threshold for extensive use of public transportation systems. That qualifies only New York and Chicago, which account for a large percentage of all public transportation in America. Seattle's density, for its urbanized area, is about 3,000 people per square mile. Moreover, public transportation becomes dominant only in the downtown business districts of these cities.

    A second dubious claim is that rail is a step forward over buses. In fact, the history of American cities, including Seattle, is that streetcar lines were converted into much less expensive, more flexible, and more extensive bus lines. As bus systems decay, due to cuts in public subsidies and other ailments of large government bureaucracies, they come to seem dated and worn out, whereupon the pendulum of wishful thinking swings back to rail.

  • Max

    Bill, that was the Port's choice. Not Sound Transit's. Post 9/11 Homeland Security rules also played a role in that *unbelievably hard* 5 minute walk.

  • http://www.google.com/profiles/Communicate.with.Mike Mr. Baker

    Pot says kettle is black.

  • Transit Guy

    Say what you want about the Beacon Hill Tunnel, but the Sound Transit board adopted a schedule and budget for Central Link in Nov. 2001, and the agency met that schedule AND BUDGET when the line opened last July. Any more whines?

  • WOW !

    Meowww Erica. Looks like there is no courtesy in the world of blogs when it comes to ones' person opinion versus another. Just a reminder – that's all it is. Publicola's opinion versus Crosscut's opinion.

  • Kathryn

    Bah! The best shopping in the DC area is when the Metro stops underneath the shopping mall.

  • Jason_Mitchell

    'Tis not. It's Crosscut's opinion versus Sound Transit research, common sense, and Transportation Planning 101. The Vision Line is a joke and anyone supporting it is either a nitwit or has ulterior motives: kudos to ECB for dismissing Brewster's specious claims with such prejudice.

  • http://yrihf.com/ jabailo

    For something that “everyone wants”, you people sure spend a lot of time pumping it up in blogs that seem to be front organizations for the Democrat party.

  • WOW !

    Jason – what I liked about Brewster's OPINION was that it seemed to be tempered with a certain amount of self doubt. See I like that in people when they are talking about future events that they really have no clue of how they will actually turn out. Anyone who speaks (or pretends to) with absolute authority about future events should be taken with a grain of salt.

  • Wells

    Years ago, when the decision that Link LRT would bypass Southcenter, Erica and the rest of the armchair transit activists dismissed my argument to include Southcenter on the route as beneath their dignity to consider.

    Bellevue does not need direct Link LRT service. I would try to explain the difference between Southcenter and Bellevue which leads me to that conclusion, but Erica and the rest of Seattle's armchair transit activists are so sure of themselves, they're not listening.

    Hey. How about that fricking stupid deep-bore tunnel? How stupid is that? Pretty goddamn unbelievably fricking stupid if you ask me. Only the ignorant and the moronic still support it. Have a nice frickin day, morons.

  • Jason_Mitchell

    If I advocated for the Vision Line I would be filled with self-doubt as well.

    Anyway, there's more than enough self-doubt in this town. There's a time to call a spade a spade: the so-called Vision Line is the product of anti-transit elements that would be happier if no rail ever came to Bellevue but can no longer stop it. Since they can't stop it they're trying to push it as far away from downtown as possible. If the Vision Line gets built I will eat this laptop. If the line is built through downtown Bellevue (either at-grade or as a tunnel) and the region ends up wishing we had built the Vision Line instead I will eat this laptop and my bicycle.

  • http://www.google.com/profiles/Communicate.with.Mike Mr. Baker

    If they just accepted light rail into their lives, and give over their transportation lives to him, er, it, then they will have everlasting transportation lives.

    Technology's promise rarely delivers what is imagined and it is difficult to predict.

  • alexjonlin

    He says “Also, as Seattle has found in its Sound Transit stations, you can only get them sited in existing neighborhoods if you promise not to upzone, not to build parking lots, not to have bus connectors.”
    What? The Beacon Hill, Mount Baker, and Othello Station areas are getting upzoned (there are appeals but they represent a very small minority of residents) and I believe there are plans for upzones of the other Rainier Valley station areas as well. The parking lots part is true, but it wasn't something that they had to promise to the neighborhoods, it was something that ST and the City of Seattle decided. But you can only give light rail to neighborhoods if you promise not to provide bus connectors? They have beefed up connecting bus service to serve Link in Seattle, Tukwila, and SeaTac, and I have never heard of a resident near a station complaining about that.

  • Jason_Mitchell

    The people of the region and, more to the point, Bellevue, have already accepted light rail. That is precisely the point: Everyone understood that ST2 meant light rail through downtown Bellevue. This isn't about asking people to accept light rail, it's about not letting a few elites with ulterior motives derail the people's will for high-capacity, dedicated right-of-way rail serving the densest possible transportation corridors.

  • http://yrihf.com/ jabailo

    The people of this region also accepting a limit on increases in state revenue. But that didn't let Queen Gregoire stop her from overturning the initiative vote? As long as everything here is 52-pickup, clearly all light rail votes and proposals are subject to being overturned or changed.

  • Jason_Mitchell

    Was going to ask you to try and stay remotely on-topic for a change, then realized I was just grateful you didn't bring up the “hydrogen highway” again. So, thanks for that.

  • ratcityreprobate

    Actually, most of the proposed connecting bus service to Link in the Rainier Valley did not materialize. Nickels convinced Metro to divert the money to subsidize the operating losses of SLUT. Two or three link trains will arrive at a given station before there is a connecting East/West bus. Cooling ones heels for 30 minutes or more waiting for a bus has not helped Link patronage. Certainly, some people do walk a mile or more over to a Link station, but not all can.

  • mSkehan

    Dearest Erica: Your journalist 'critical eye' has been blurred in recent years. First off, don't cite Sound Transit experts as gospel on ridership, cost, or timing. Central Link (CL) is no where close to projections. Currenly, CL ridership is only 75% of projected, and on a 'no growth' tragectory this year, meaning they'll be at half of projected ridership to the airport. CL is only returning 11% of the farrebox, meaning it is about twice as expensive as the bus service it has replaced. Erica: go back to digging for the truth.
    As for the Vision Line, the moving sidewalks are not a George Jetson idea. Hell, go to most big airports, and that's the way you move a lot of people to where they want to go. Several covered moving sidewalks, radiating out from the station, do a better job off connecting the transit center to todays Bellevue, AND the one that will likely grow up on the east side of I-405 in the future.
    The Vision line is more direct to Redmond, saving up to 5 minutes of travel time over the surface route that snakes through the CBD core.
    And the Vision line saves hundreds of millions of dollars. Isn't that worth anything these days?

  • xenakis

    FWIW, the on time and w/in budget opening was 3 years late and $1B more than the plan authorized by voters in '96 – not to mention ~10 miles shorter. I'm all for the LR – should've been started back in the 60s when it first came up; but every time someone quotes 2001 as the baseline, they neglect an important part of the history and lessons learned for infrastructure planning.

  • vlado

    Erica: If David's perspective is half baked, I'd be afraid of what to call yours. You seem stuck in the raw muck of your ideological perspective. Public transportation is a complex subject, and the fact is that there are valid arguments on both sides of this debate. I certainly understand the advantage of having LR at the center of density, but for you not to recognize that this also makes the transit substantially slower/inefficient because it has to share street ROW with other vehicles, as well as take a big detour.

    From my own perspective, I don't think we will have an efficient public transportation system until it is grade separated. It then becomes faster than travelling by car, which is essential to making transit a viable system. The planned monorail project did accomplish that objective, and I lament that we now assume that putting LR on the middle of public streets is going to be an effecive mover of people. It isn't, we need a better way.

  • Guest

    Mskehan, you confuse old Sound Transit with Joni Earl Sound Transit. You want to talk about cost and schedule? Central Link came in on time and on budget from the 2001 plan Joni laid out. You also confuse estimated peak ridership with estimated average ridership. Link is only off about 1,000 daily riders from ST estimates—and those numbers predate the cessation of 194 service. Given the economy's impact on transit ridership and Rainier Valley redevelopment, it's safe to say ST's ridership projections were right on target.

  • mSkehan

    I was asking Erica to do some fact finding of her own, instead of trashing someone else's opinion. Here, I've done the homework for both of you.
    2009 ridership was 15,546 avg/day–projected at 19,800
    2010 ridership estimated at 32,600 per day. Jan 2010 was flat, or about half the ridership projected by the 'experts', “using very conservative estimates”, by there own words.
    Source: http://www.bettertransport.info/pitf/SoundTrans… (ST has been lowering expectations since the report)
    Ridership for 2020 (exluding U-Link) estimated at 42,500 avg/day.
    Source: FTA Full Funding Grant Agreement signed by Joni Earl.
    Fact: Total fares paid in 2009 were $2.4mil, with 2.5 mil riders. Expenses were $21.8 mil. That's only 11%.and that's not even counting depreciation or debt service, which makes Central Link far worse. Link was supposed to recover 53% at the farebox.
    I'm just saying that some honesty in reporting the facts will go a long way to making good decisions going forward.

  • Wells

    Portland's 2-car trainset MAX system began with an expected average of 19,000 rides daily. Seattle's Link however, is a 3-car trainset that should serve closer to 25,000 rides in its first years and increase to 40,000 (not including U-Link) in about ten years. If Link had included Southcenter in the route, I expect ridership would be closer to 25,000 soon. Downtown Seattle hoteliers and boutique retailers pulled strings at City Hall to “eliminate” Southcenter route competition.

  • Maharet

    Hey, is there a good place where I can see documentation/news articles about what really went on with the decision not to run lightrail to Southcenter?

    I've heard it both ways; that it was Tukwila who said no, and that it was ST who said no.

  • Wells

    Tukwila City Council supported the Southcenter alignment up until Sound Transit started making deals with other regional players, namely Seattle and Renton. Tukwila then found it couldn't fight Sound Transit and accepted the bypass. Shortly after, hundreds of Tukwila's street trees were declared 'diseased' and chopped down.

  • No. 6

    “A second dubious claim is that rail is a step forward over buses.”
    -Max

    Ahh, the good ol' O'Toole approach is rearing it's head is it now? Fact of the matter is, we can chart the decay of most city centers from when the rails were torn out. The ride quality of a bus is laughable when compared to rail, and that “lack of flexibility,” so neatly marketed as a disadvantage, is actually the beauty of a rail system. It's not going to change or go away easily; there is a guaranteed flow of people on that corridor, and that inspires development. Not to mention rails fixed in pavement inspire the trust of tourists and first-timers. With a bus route there is always a certain degree of mystery on the exact locations of it's stops and routes. Not so with rail.

    As far as your argument for population density, get out of the 1950's. We've been stuck in gridlock for too long here already, and of course you wouldn't think that the population might, over the next few decades, increase like the rest of the major metorpolitan centers in the US , would you? Let us not make the same mistakes we made in the 50's, 60's, and 70's. We need these new options and right of ways. Our region will have a very hard time functioning, let alone competing in the future without them.

    Oh, and guess what- our starter line is already set to go, incase you missed it while you were hibernating under your rock.