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Crime Around Rail Stations: Stable or Falling

Despite concerns among some South End residents that crime—particularly assaults and robberies—has been increasing in the neighborhoods around light rail stations since rail opened last July, data obtained from the Seattle Police Department through a records request indicate that, if anything, the opposite is the case.

Although crime in the South End has been increasing generally, the number of assaults and robberies in the three police precincts encompassing the segment of the light rail line from the Mount Baker station to the Rainier Beach station (map here) has remained essentially stable since light rail opened. Taken together, robberies and assaults declined in the three precincts from a total of 397 between mid-July 2008 and December 2008 to 384 for the same period in 2009—the period between light rail’s opening day and the end of the year.

Digging into the numbers, the number of assaults was basically stable in the three precincts from year to year, increasing by one from 312 to 313 thanks largely to a sharp increase in the northernmost of the three precincts (from 80 to 101), accompanies by decreases in the other two. Robberies, which include street robberies (by far the most common type) as well as a few residential and business robberies, went down from 85 to 73.

The bottom line, Sound Transit spokesman Geoff Patrick says, is that despite a few high-profile incidents involving rail passengers, light rail hasn’t produced a rash of crime in South End neighborhoods. “I talked to both our internal police office and SPD, and they said there were one or two instances of crime involving people who had deboarded light rail, but there didn’t seem to be any kind of trend,” Patrick says.


  • Crazy Man

    Even criminals won’t use light rail.

  • Crazy Man

    Even criminals won’t use light rail.

  • PCO37

    The SPD is using large crime data from large geographic areas to make the claim that crime isn’t happening near ST stations. This is a flawed approach.

    A better approach would be to take crime statistics from a 1/4 or 1/2 mile circle around the stations.

    As a PCO I canvass the neighborhoods around two of the stations and homeowners and businesses report an increase in robberies, b&e, and vandalism (which was not included in the SPD data). This has also been brought up at community meetings by residents.

  • So Sea Resident

    Under Admiral District resident Nickels the territory of the Southeast precinct was expanded to include South Park and Delridge(aka the “bad parts” of West Seattle) without expanding staffing. Wouldn’t you know? Staffing in the rest of West Seattle was not cut.

  • So Sea Resident

    Under Admiral District resident Nickels the territory of the Southeast precinct was expanded to include South Park and Delridge(aka the “bad parts” of West Seattle) without expanding staffing. Wouldn’t you know? Staffing in the rest of West Seattle was not cut.

  • Anonymous

    PCO? Pawn-Commissioned Officer? Pickled Cabbage Organizer?

  • The Trans Parent Trap

    PCO? Pawn-Commissioned Officer? Pickled Cabbage Organizer?

  • croydonfacelift

    The numbers actually point to a large increase in crime in the precincts with light rail stations.

    The map shows that the northernmost precinct–which had a 25% increase in assaults–contains the four major south end stations (Beacon Hill, McLellan, Edmunds and Othello), and there is only one station in the other two precincts (Henderson).

    The other two precincts taken together have only one station–Henderson–and that is sited in a nearly vacant, inhospitable area.

    I guess you could argue that the Othello stations straddles the S1 and S2 precincts, but even so, the numbers strongly argue against the conclusion that crime in areas around light rail is falling.

  • croydonfacelift

    The numbers actually point to a large increase in crime in the precincts with light rail stations.

    The map shows that the northernmost precinct–which had a 25% increase in assaults–contains the four major south end stations (Beacon Hill, McLellan, Edmunds and Othello), and there is only one station in the other two precincts (Henderson).

    The other two precincts taken together have only one station–Henderson–and that is sited in a nearly vacant, inhospitable area.

    I guess you could argue that the Othello stations straddles the S1 and S2 precincts, but even so, the numbers strongly argue against the conclusion that crime in areas around light rail is falling.

  • PCO37

    The SPD is using large crime data from large geographic areas to make the claim that crime isn't happening near ST stations. This is a flawed approach.

    A better approach would be to take crime statistics from a 1/4 or 1/2 mile circle around the stations.

    As a PCO I canvass the neighborhoods around two of the stations and homeowners and businesses report an increase in robberies, b&e, and vandalism (which was not included in the SPD data). This has also been brought up at community meetings by residents.