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Turnout So Far: Underwhelming

On the ballots this year we have same-sex domestic partnerships, a Tim Eyman libertarian tax initiative, a relatively contentious mayoral race, and a serious conservative contender for the King County Executive. Exciting stuff.

But so, far voters seem unimpressed.

“It’s all about the issues on the ballot and the media hype around specific candidates or ballot measures,” said Megan Coppersmith, spokeswoman for the King County Department of Elections. “We expected a 56 percent turnout county wide, but returns are coming in a little bit lower than we anticipated…consistently lower,”

The numbers, as of 8:00 last night, were 24.01 percent countywide and 24.48 percent in Seattle itself.

The department’s projected numbers aren’t that ambitious. Coppersmith says that the 2005 off-year mayoral election is the strongest point of comparison, when 53.76 percent of voters of voters turned out. But the 2005 election was a notoriously dull affair, featuring a popular incumbent and, in Josh’s words, Al Runte’s “quixotic [insurgent] campaign that stirred no one’s imagination.” (There was also poll balloting then.) In contrast, this year looks particularly exciting so 56 percent should be an easy hit.

(This year’s primary turnout was 31.56 percent, about two points higher than 2005).

Of course, this is only King County’s third purely mail-in ballot election, which means votes will still be trickling in over the next three days. “We’ll really have a better handle on whether we reached that 56 percent turnout later in the week,” Coppersmith said.




  • justin

    With the police shooting this weekend I almost forgot we had the election today until last night.

  • justin

    With the police shooting this weekend I almost forgot we had the election today until last night.

  • Jason

    We’ll probably make up the difference later in the week. I imagine many people put off their candidate research until this weekend—just as they would have if actually going to the polls today.

    While most of us have long known our positions on the sexy stuff, it takes time to research port and school board candidates, and life has a way of offering more exciting options than researching port and school board candidates.

    But if this and the next few elections result in lower-than-expected turnout, we should look at revising the mail-in only system. I know I for one dearly miss the celebration of democracy that is the polling station. Plus I don’t trust the USPS farther than I can throw a mailbag full of ballots.

  • Jason

    We’ll probably make up the difference later in the week. I imagine many people put off their candidate research until this weekend—just as they would have if actually going to the polls today.

    While most of us have long known our positions on the sexy stuff, it takes time to research port and school board candidates, and life has a way of offering more exciting options than researching port and school board candidates.

    But if this and the next few elections result in lower-than-expected turnout, we should look at revising the mail-in only system. I know I for one dearly miss the celebration of democracy that is the polling station. Plus I don’t trust the USPS farther than I can throw a mailbag full of ballots.

  • Louise

    I just heard that people trying to vote in person at the Bellevue City Hall are having trouble doing so due to long lines and lots of paperwork. Anything to that?

  • IMFletch

    were people here for the primary? at this point seattle had cast ~66,000 ballots. another ~79,000 came in. if the same pattern holds for the general, we’ll have about 55% turnout, which is normal, not underwhelming. that said, the undervote in the mayor’s race could be interesting if those undecideds leave it blank.

  • IMFletch

    were people here for the primary? at this point seattle had cast ~66,000 ballots. another ~79,000 came in. if the same pattern holds for the general, we’ll have about 55% turnout, which is normal, not underwhelming. that said, the undervote in the mayor’s race could be interesting if those undecideds leave it blank.

  • Myt-mobile phone.

    Joe My t-mobile phone is acting up.And i did find out others have the same problems. Do you know anything about it. Night before the election–that raises eyebrow.

  • Myt-mobile phone.

    Joe My t-mobile phone is acting up.And i did find out others have the same problems. Do you know anything about it. Night before the election–that raises eyebrow.

  • IMFletch

    try night of the election.

  • IMFletch

    try night of the election.

  • http://gomezticator.livejournal.com/tag/wsdot+tunnel Gomez

    Aren’t they also a bit slow to count the incoming ballots? It’s possible their projections are based on a limited sample.

  • http://gomezticator.livejournal.com/tag/wsdot+tunnel Gomez

    Aren’t they also a bit slow to count the incoming ballots? It’s possible their projections are based on a limited sample.

  • vote now

    I just went to the Ballard drop-off. It is JAMMED with people dropping ballots.

  • vote now

    I just went to the Ballard drop-off. It is JAMMED with people dropping ballots.

  • http://gomezticator.livejournal.com/tag/wsdot+tunnel Gomez

    Another factor as to why we’re seeing an early underwhelming return on ballots: Indecision on races like the Mayor’s race. It goes back to people not being sold on either candidate in a race, and/or having serious issues with both. We may see a lot of people not too happy with their selection and waiting until the 55th minute of the 11th hour (so to speak) to send their ballot.

    And no, phone slaps, harassing them at home is not going to get them to vote for your guy. Hell, if they pick up, there’s also the chance the annoyance could swing them the other way (provided the other side doesn’t do the same thing).

  • http://gomezticator.livejournal.com/tag/wsdot+tunnel Gomez

    Another factor as to why we’re seeing an early underwhelming return on ballots: Indecision on races like the Mayor’s race. It goes back to people not being sold on either candidate in a race, and/or having serious issues with both. We may see a lot of people not too happy with their selection and waiting until the 55th minute of the 11th hour (so to speak) to send their ballot.

    And no, phone slaps, harassing them at home is not going to get them to vote for your guy. Hell, if they pick up, there’s also the chance the annoyance could swing them the other way (provided the other side doesn’t do the same thing).

  • nater

    @9

    Another factor as to why we’re seeing an early underwhelming return on ballots: Indecision on races like the Mayor’s race.

    exactly.

    I personally know a dozen people whose ballots were filled out two weeks ago except for the Mayor’s race. I got four mayoral advice-seeking phone calls last night from friends who otherwise would have mailed in their ballots long ago.

  • nater

    @9

    Another factor as to why we’re seeing an early underwhelming return on ballots: Indecision on races like the Mayor’s race.

    exactly.

    I personally know a dozen people whose ballots were filled out two weeks ago except for the Mayor’s race. I got four mayoral advice-seeking phone calls last night from friends who otherwise would have mailed in their ballots long ago.

  • Louise

    I just heard that people trying to vote in person at the Bellevue City Hall are having trouble doing so due to long lines and lots of paperwork. Anything to that?